Regression Watch
Gameweek 27
Players whose actual output doesn't match their underlying stats. DUE = buy low, OVER = potential sell.
DUE
Due Goals
Underperforming xG - buy targets
1 
2 
3 4 
5 
6 
7 
8 
9 10 
11 
12 
13 
14 15 16 
17 
18 
19 
20
Mateta
FWD Crystal Palace £7.5m
8 goals from 12.9 xG
-4.9
diff
0.62x
PvE
Form 0.0 1555
Brooks
MID Bournemouth £5.0m
1 goals from 4.9 xG
-3.9
diff
0.20x
PvE
Form 0.5 1438
Evanilson
FWD Bournemouth £6.9m
5 goals from 8.8 xG
-3.8
diff
0.57x
PvE
Form 1.8 1500
Gordon
MID Newcastle £7.2m
3 goals from 6.2 xG
-3.2
diff
0.49x
PvE
Form 3.2 1517
Delap
FWD Chelsea £6.2m
1 goals from 4.2 xG
-3.2
diff
0.24x
PvE
Form 2.0 1470
Tolu
FWD Wolves £5.4m
2 goals from 5.1 xG
-3.1
diff
0.39x
PvE
Form 2.8 1474
Watkins
FWD Aston Villa £8.6m
8 goals from 11.0 xG
-3.0
diff
0.73x
PvE
Form 1.5 1516
Martinelli
MID Arsenal £6.8m
1 goals from 4.0 xG
-3.0
diff
0.25x
PvE
Form 2.4 1468
Saka
MID Arsenal £9.8m
5 goals from 7.9 xG
-2.9
diff
0.63x
PvE
Form 3.6 1602
B.Fernandes
MID Man Utd £9.9m
6 goals from 8.9 xG
-2.9
diff
0.67x
PvE
Form 6.0 1699
Beto
FWD Everton £5.0m
3 goals from 5.7 xG
-2.7
diff
0.53x
PvE
Form 2.2 1462
M.Salah
MID Liverpool £14.0m
4 goals from 6.5 xG
-2.5
diff
0.61x
PvE
Form 4.0 1584
Van den Berg
DEF Brentford £4.5m
0 goals from 2.5 xG
-2.5
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 4.5 1542
Amad
MID Man Utd £6.2m
2 goals from 4.5 xG
-2.5
diff
0.44x
PvE
Form 1.8 1493
Lacroix
DEF Crystal Palace £5.1m
0 goals from 2.5 xG
-2.5
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 4.0 1596
Struijk
DEF Leeds £4.3m
0 goals from 2.5 xG
-2.5
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 2.0 1495
Odobert
MID Spurs £5.3m
0 goals from 2.5 xG
-2.5
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 0.8 1439
Igor Jesus
FWD Nott'm Forest £5.8m
2 goals from 4.4 xG
-2.4
diff
0.45x
PvE
Form 1.5 1462
Raúl
FWD Fulham £6.1m
8 goals from 10.4 xG
-2.4
diff
0.77x
PvE
Form 5.8 1585
J.Arias
MID Wolves £4.9m
1 goals from 3.3 xG
-2.3
diff
0.30x
PvE
Form 0.2 1428
OVER
Overperforming
Overperforming xG - sell/caution
1 2 3 4 5 6 
7 8 9 10 
11 
12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 
20
Wilson
MID Fulham £5.9m
8 goals from 3.9 xG
+4.1
diff
2.07x
PvE
Form 3.5 1600
Kroupi.Jr
FWD Bournemouth £4.7m
8 goals from 4.3 xG
+3.7
diff
1.84x
PvE
Form 3.0 1513
Rogers
MID Aston Villa £7.7m
8 goals from 4.6 xG
+3.4
diff
1.73x
PvE
Form 4.0 1606
Bruno G.
MID Newcastle £6.9m
9 goals from 5.8 xG
+3.2
diff
1.56x
PvE
Form 3.5 1640
Gravenberch
MID Liverpool £5.5m
4 goals from 1.1 xG
+2.9
diff
3.79x
PvE
Form 4.2 1603
Anthony
MID Burnley £5.0m
6 goals from 3.4 xG
+2.6
diff
1.76x
PvE
Form 3.2 1523
Dewsbury-Hall
MID Everton £5.0m
5 goals from 2.4 xG
+2.6
diff
2.06x
PvE
Form 5.2 1620
Zubimendi
MID Arsenal £5.3m
5 goals from 2.6 xG
+2.4
diff
1.93x
PvE
Form 5.6 1601
Romero
DEF Spurs £5.0m
4 goals from 1.8 xG
+2.2
diff
2.23x
PvE
Form -0.8 1578
Brobbey
FWD Sunderland £5.5m
5 goals from 3.0 xG
+2.0
diff
1.68x
PvE
Form 1.5 1482
M.Fernandes
MID West Ham £5.5m
3 goals from 1.0 xG
+2.0
diff
2.94x
PvE
Form 5.0 1589
Cash
DEF Aston Villa £4.9m
3 goals from 1.1 xG
+1.9
diff
2.70x
PvE
Form 1.5 1522
Buendía
MID Aston Villa £5.3m
5 goals from 3.2 xG
+1.8
diff
1.55x
PvE
Form 1.2 1478
J.Palhinha
MID Spurs £5.5m
3 goals from 1.3 xG
+1.7
diff
2.36x
PvE
Form 2.5 1526
Caicedo
MID Chelsea £5.7m
3 goals from 1.3 xG
+1.7
diff
2.35x
PvE
Form 2.8 1546
Stach
MID Leeds £4.7m
4 goals from 2.3 xG
+1.7
diff
1.73x
PvE
Form 3.2 1590
Chalobah
DEF Chelsea £5.7m
3 goals from 1.4 xG
+1.6
diff
2.19x
PvE
Form 3.0 1589
Talbi
MID Sunderland £4.9m
3 goals from 1.4 xG
+1.6
diff
2.20x
PvE
Form 2.8 1506
Rúben
DEF Man City £5.5m
2 goals from 0.4 xG
+1.6
diff
5.13x
PvE
Form 1.8 1544
Van de Ven
DEF Spurs £4.5m
4 goals from 2.4 xG
+1.6
diff
1.65x
PvE
Form 1.0 1512