Regression Watch
Gameweek 32
Players whose actual output doesn't match their underlying stats. DUE = buy low, OVER = potential sell.
DUE
Due Goals
Underperforming xG - buy targets
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Brooks
MID Bournemouth £5.0m
1 goals from 5.5 npxG
-4.5
diff
0.18x
PvE
Form 1.0 1442
Evanilson
FWD Bournemouth £6.7m
6 goals from 9.9 npxG
-3.9
diff
0.61x
PvE
Form 5.0 1565
Watkins
FWD Aston Villa £8.5m
9 goals from 12.8 npxG
-3.8
diff
0.70x
PvE
Form 5.5 1589
Delap
FWD Chelsea £6.2m
1 goals from 4.7 npxG
-3.7
diff
0.21x
PvE
Form 1.0 1447
Van den Berg
DEF Brentford £4.6m
0 goals from 3.1 npxG
-3.1
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 3.3 1530
Martinelli
MID Arsenal £6.8m
1 goals from 4.1 npxG
-3.1
diff
0.25x
PvE
Form 1.0 1444
Amad
MID Man Utd £6.2m
2 goals from 4.9 npxG
-2.9
diff
0.41x
PvE
Form 2.0 1487
Garnacho
MID Chelsea £6.4m
1 goals from 3.8 npxG
-2.8
diff
0.26x
PvE
Form 0.5 1453
Struijk
DEF Leeds £4.3m
0 goals from 2.7 npxG
-2.7
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 3.5 1530
Schade
MID Brentford £7.0m
7 goals from 9.7 npxG
-2.7
diff
0.67x
PvE
Form 3.3 1549
King
MID Fulham £4.4m
1 goals from 3.7 npxG
-2.7
diff
0.27x
PvE
Form 7.0 1542
Wirtz
MID Liverpool £8.3m
4 goals from 6.5 npxG
-2.5
diff
0.61x
PvE
Form 4.0 1575
Odobert
MID Spurs £5.3m
0 goals from 2.5 npxG
-2.5
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 0.0 1457
Savinho
MID Man City £6.9m
0 goals from 2.5 npxG
-2.5
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 1.0 1451
Muniz
FWD Fulham £5.3m
1 goals from 3.3 npxG
-2.3
diff
0.30x
PvE
Form 2.0 1465
J.Arias
MID Wolves £4.9m
1 goals from 3.3 npxG
-2.3
diff
0.30x
PvE
Form 0.0 1458
Calvert-Lewin
FWD Leeds £5.6m
10 goals from 12.2 npxG
-2.2
diff
0.69x
PvE
Form 2.0 1533
Tolu
FWD Wolves £5.3m
3 goals from 5.2 npxG
-2.2
diff
0.50x
PvE
Form 3.0 1478
Mosquera
DEF Wolves £4.3m
0 goals from 2.2 npxG
-2.2
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 0.5 1422
Hume
DEF Sunderland £4.5m
0 goals from 2.2 npxG
-2.2
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 0.5 1442
OVER
Overperforming
Overperforming xG - sell/caution
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Wilson
MID Fulham £6.1m
10 goals from 5.1 npxG
+4.9
diff
1.97x
PvE
Form 5.5 1659
Bruno G.
MID Newcastle £6.8m
9 goals from 4.3 npxG
+4.8
diff
1.56x
PvE
Form 0.0 1689
Kroupi.Jr
FWD Bournemouth £4.6m
10 goals from 6.0 npxG
+4.0
diff
1.48x
PvE
Form 5.5 1552
Dewsbury-Hall
MID Everton £5.1m
7 goals from 3.7 npxG
+3.3
diff
1.88x
PvE
Form 6.0 1659
L.Paquetá
MID West Ham £5.9m
4 goals from 0.9 npxG
+3.1
diff
1.64x
PvE
Form 0.0 1555
Gravenberch
MID Liverpool £5.5m
4 goals from 1.3 npxG
+2.7
diff
3.10x
PvE
Form 2.0 1548
Ndiaye
MID Everton £6.2m
6 goals from 3.3 npxG
+2.7
diff
1.24x
PvE
Form 6.0 1634
Anthony
MID Burnley £5.0m
7 goals from 4.7 npxG
+2.3
diff
1.49x
PvE
Form 2.0 1514
Casemiro
MID Man Utd £5.7m
8 goals from 5.7 npxG
+2.3
diff
1.40x
PvE
Form 5.0 1632
Zubimendi
MID Arsenal £5.0m
5 goals from 2.8 npxG
+2.2
diff
1.77x
PvE
Form 2.0 1524
Romero
DEF Spurs £5.0m
4 goals from 1.8 npxG
+2.2
diff
2.18x
PvE
Form 1.0 1511
Iwobi
MID Fulham £6.4m
4 goals from 1.9 npxG
+2.1
diff
2.13x
PvE
Form 1.5 1513
M.Fernandes
MID West Ham £5.5m
3 goals from 1.1 npxG
+1.9
diff
2.80x
PvE
Form 2.0 1519
Szoboszlai
MID Liverpool £7.1m
5 goals from 3.1 npxG
+1.9
diff
1.30x
PvE
Form 4.0 1595
R.Gomes
DEF Wolves £4.4m
3 goals from 1.2 npxG
+1.8
diff
2.57x
PvE
Form 0.5 1455
Cash
DEF Aston Villa £4.7m
3 goals from 1.2 npxG
+1.8
diff
2.54x
PvE
Form 3.5 1550
Talbi
MID Sunderland £4.9m
4 goals from 2.2 npxG
+1.8
diff
1.84x
PvE
Form 4.5 1541
Rogers
MID Aston Villa £7.4m
8 goals from 6.3 npxG
+1.7
diff
1.28x
PvE
Form 5.5 1638
Richarlison
FWD Spurs £6.3m
9 goals from 7.3 npxG
+1.7
diff
1.23x
PvE
Form 2.0 1514
BuendÃa
MID Aston Villa £5.3m
5 goals from 3.3 npxG
+1.7
diff
1.50x
PvE
Form 1.0 1467