Matchup Predictor
In-form attackers facing weak defences. The matchup score weighs form, rating and xG/90 against the opponent's defensive record.
Gameweek 7
8+ Excellent matchup 6-8 Good matchup High xGA = weak defense (H) Home · (A) Away
01
Top matchups
#1 
Groß
MID Brighton
6.6
vs CRY (H)
1.50 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲▲▲
xG/90
0.29
Price
£6.0m
#2 
Haaland
FWD Man City
5.6
vs IPS (H)
1.51 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.87
Price
£15.6m
#3 
Barry
FWD Everton
5.4
vs CHE (H)
1.55 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.99
Price
£5.7m
#4 
Calvert-Lewin
FWD Leeds
5.2
vs MUN (H)
1.54 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲
xG/90
0.59
Price
£6.0m
#5
Dewsbury-Hall
MID Everton
5.1
vs CHE (H)
1.55 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲
xG/90
0.30
Price
£6.6m
#6 
Thiago
FWD Brentford
5
vs LIV (H)
1.50 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲▲
xG/90
0.53
Price
£7.8m
#7
Semenyo
MID Man City
4.8
vs IPS (H)
1.51 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲▲
xG/90
0.07
Price
£8.3m
#8 
McGinn
MID Aston Villa
4.7
vs NEW (A)
1.48 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲▲▲
xG/90
0.19
Price
£5.4m
#9 
Mbeumo
MID Man Utd
4.7
vs LEE (A)
1.45 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▼▼
xG/90
0.55
Price
£7.9m
#10 
Saka
MID Arsenal
4.7
vs NFO (A)
1.52 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▼▼
xG/90
0.82
Price
£9.6m
#11 
Evanilson
FWD Bournemouth
4.7
vs SUN (H)
1.54 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲
xG/90
0.31
Price
£6.0m
#12
Gomez
MID Brighton
4.6
vs CRY (H)
1.50 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲
xG/90
0.27
Price
£5.0m
#13 
Gonzalo
FWD Fulham
4.6
vs HUL (H)
1.51 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▼
xG/90
0.57
Price
£6.1m
#14
Tavernier
MID Bournemouth
4.5
vs SUN (H)
1.54 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▼▼
xG/90
0.31
Price
£6.1m
#15 
Wissa
FWD Newcastle
4.5
vs AVL (H)
1.55 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▼▼
xG/90
0.44
Price
£6.3m
02
Best forward matchups
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 
Haaland
vs IPS (H) 1.51 xGA
5.6
£15.6m
Barry
vs CHE (H) 1.55 xGA
5.4
£5.7m
Calvert-Lewin
vs MUN (H) 1.54 xGA
5.2
£6.0m
Thiago
vs LIV (H) 1.50 xGA
5
£7.8m
Evanilson
vs SUN (H) 1.54 xGA
4.7
£6.0m
Gonzalo
vs HUL (H) 1.51 xGA
4.6
£6.1m
Wissa
vs AVL (H) 1.55 xGA
4.5
£6.3m
Havertz
vs NFO (A) 1.52 xGA
3.7
£7.5m
McBurnie
vs FUL (A) 1.51 xGA
3.5
£5.5m
03
Best midfielder matchups
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Groß
vs CRY (H) 1.50 xGA
6.6
£6.0m
Dewsbury-Hall
vs CHE (H) 1.55 xGA
5.1
£6.6m
Semenyo
vs IPS (H) 1.51 xGA
4.8
£8.3m
McGinn
vs NEW (A) 1.48 xGA
4.7
£5.4m
Mbeumo
vs LEE (A) 1.45 xGA
4.7
£7.9m
Saka
vs NFO (A) 1.52 xGA
4.7
£9.6m
Gomez
vs CRY (H) 1.50 xGA
4.6
£5.0m
Tavernier
vs SUN (H) 1.54 xGA
4.5
£6.1m
B.Fernandes
vs LEE (A) 1.45 xGA
4.4
£11.9m
Barnes
vs AVL (H) 1.55 xGA
4.3
£6.1m
04
How matchup scores work
Player Form (60%)
- Rating vs position average (1500 baseline)
- Recent form trend (form_diff)
- Expected goals per 90 minutes (xG/90)
Opponent Weakness (40%)
- Estimated xGA based on defensive player ratings
- Higher xGA = weaker defense = better matchup
- Home advantage provides 10% bonus
Note: xGA is estimated from team defensive ratings. Only attackers with 5+ games played and available status are included.